The job is described one way and experienced another.
Pay, schedule, workload, or growth were oversold or left vague in recruiting. The mismatch is the seed of the exit, and it is planted before the new hire ever badges in.
You recruited them, paid to onboard them, and they left before the investment paid back. First-year turnover is not bad luck. It follows a pattern, the pattern has causes, and the causes can be found and fixed.
First-year turnover is the most predictable turnover you have. The exit is set up in the first weeks — sometimes before day one. Which means it can be seen coming, and stopped.
Across roughly one million employee interviews, first-year exits trace back to the same handful of moments. Each one is visible to the organization at the time — if anyone is asking.
Pay, schedule, workload, or growth were oversold or left vague in recruiting. The mismatch is the seed of the exit, and it is planted before the new hire ever badges in.
No plan, no working equipment, no one checking in. New hires decide in the first weeks whether this is a place that has its act together — and they decide fast.
Managers hold the greatest influence over retention, and for new hires, that relationship forms or fails in the first months. When expectations, feedback, and recognition are missing, private doubt hardens into a plan.
The novelty is gone. If there is no evidence of growth and no place on the team, the next recruiter call gets answered. By the time HR hears about it, the decision is months old.
You absorbed the recruiting, the onboarding, the training, and the months of below-full productivity. Then you paid for all of it again to fill the same seat. A departure conservatively costs a third of the role's annual salary, and early exits cost more, because nothing was recovered.
500 employees at 20% turnover is 100 leavers a year. If a third leave in year one, that is 33 first-year exits. At a $54,000 salary, that is roughly $590,000 a year spent on hires that never paid back.
The same three-step path we apply to every workforce challenge, pointed at the first twelve months of employment.
Trained third-party interviewers talk with your new hires at 30, 90, and 180 days — and with the people who left before their first anniversary. Not a survey. A conversation people are honest in, because it is not with their manager.
We trace the exits to their causes and show you where they cluster: which roles, locations, managers, and weeks. Benchmarked against roughly one million interviews, so you know what is normal and what is yours.
A prioritized plan with owners: the recruiting promises to correct, the onboarding gaps to close, the manager behaviors to develop. Then we measure again, so the number moving down is a fact, not a hope.
Every study is scoped to your question. Some organizations start with a single onboarding study; others pair it with exit interviews across the first year.
See the full approachA survey tells you a score dropped at day 90. It rarely tells you why, and new hires hesitate to be candid on their employer's own form. Third-party interviews get the reasons in employees' own words — and in numbers you can act on.
How we listenInternal exit interviews skew polite and vague — people protect their references. Ours are conducted by trained researchers with no stake in the answer, benchmarked against roughly one million interviews, so the real causes come out and can be counted.
See Voice-of-Employee ResearchOften, partly. But the evidence usually shows a chain: a recruiting promise, an onboarding gap, then a manager who never had the tools. Fix only the last link and the pattern stays intact. We show you the whole chain, then help you decide where to act first.
Explore all workforce challengesA hospital system paired onboarding studies with exit interviews of first-year leavers, then rebuilt its first 90 days around what it heard.
Read the case studyExit and stay interviews traced avoidable turnover to two fixable causes leadership had overlooked — most of it inside the first year.
Read the case studyActing on voice-of-employee findings lifted engagement scores across every business unit within a year, and new-hire retention followed.
Read the case studyYou cannot make new hires stay. You can remove the reasons they leave.
Research, tools, and stories for leaders working on new-hire retention.
Put in your headcount and turnover rate. See what first-year exits are costing you before the conversation, not after.
Calculate your first-year costWhy people left this year, by tenure and by category, drawn from tens of thousands of interviews.
Get the reportThe recruiting decisions that show up as resignations six months later, and how to spot them earlier.
Read the article
One 30-minute conversation with a retention expert — not a salesperson. Bring your first-year turnover rate and what you've already tried. You'll leave with the likely causes and the research that would confirm them.
We reply within one business day. No automated sequence.
We don't sell or share your information, and you won't be added to a drip campaign.